{"id":"2026-oct-report-ae-wb-oct2026-growth-inflation-outlook","canonicalSlug":"2026-oct-report-ae-wb-oct2026-growth-inflation-outlook","url":"https://wellficent.com/en/news/2026-oct-report-ae-wb-oct2026-growth-inflation-outlook","language":"en","title":"UAE: World Bank updates per-capita growth and inflation outlook","summary":"The World Bank’s October 2026 outlook gives United Arab Emirates estimates and forecasts for real GDP per-capita growth and inflation.","body":["The World Bank’s October 2026 regional economic update, announced on October 6, includes a country table for United Arab Emirates. Its indicators are estimates and projections, not newly observed outcomes. This article reports the country row while retaining the source’s labels and units.","The UAE’s real GDP per-capita growth is listed at 1.4% for 2025, -3.3% for 2026 and 8.0% forecast for 2027. These rates measure change in output per person, not total real GDP growth. The table labels 2025 as an estimate and 2026–27 as forecasts.","inflation in the UAE is shown at 1.3% in 2025 and 2.7% in 2026 and 1.8% in 2027. The appendix identifies annual consumer-price inflation but does not say whether the rate is an annual average or year-end measure. It should not be read as a monthly CPI observation or compared on an assumed identical basis.","For 2026, the UAE’s -3.3% real GDP per-capita growth projection alongside 2.7% inflation gives two separate annual indicators, not a measure of what caused prices or output to move. The table does not decompose export volumes, energy or food costs, or shipping charges, and its CPI basis is not specified."],"keyPoints":["Real GDP per-capita growth: 2025 1.4% (estimate), 2026 -3.3% (forecast), 2027 8.0% (forecast).","Inflation: 2025 1.3%, 2026 2.7% (forecast), 2027 1.8% (forecast).","Annual inflation basis (average or year-end) is not specified."],"sections":[],"text":"UAE: World Bank updates per-capita growth and inflation outlook\n\nThe World Bank’s October 2026 outlook gives United Arab Emirates estimates and forecasts for real GDP per-capita growth and inflation.\n\nReal GDP per-capita growth: 2025 1.4% (estimate), 2026 -3.3% (forecast), 2027 8.0% (forecast).\n\nInflation: 2025 1.3%, 2026 2.7% (forecast), 2027 1.8% (forecast).\n\nAnnual inflation basis (average or year-end) is not specified.\n\nThe World Bank’s October 2026 regional economic update, announced on October 6, includes a country table for United Arab Emirates. Its indicators are estimates and projections, not newly observed outcomes. This article reports the country row while retaining the source’s labels and units.\n\nThe UAE’s real GDP per-capita growth is listed at 1.4% for 2025, -3.3% for 2026 and 8.0% forecast for 2027. These rates measure change in output per person, not total real GDP growth. The table labels 2025 as an estimate and 2026–27 as forecasts.\n\ninflation in the UAE is shown at 1.3% in 2025 and 2.7% in 2026 and 1.8% in 2027. The appendix identifies annual consumer-price inflation but does not say whether the rate is an annual average or year-end measure. It should not be read as a monthly CPI observation or compared on an assumed identical basis.\n\nFor 2026, the UAE’s -3.3% real GDP per-capita growth projection alongside 2.7% inflation gives two separate annual indicators, not a measure of what caused prices or output to move. The table does not decompose export volumes, energy or food costs, or shipping charges, and its CPI basis is not specified.","category":"economy","region":"world","topics":["statistics","inflation","finance"],"eventDate":"2026-10-06","eventDateBasis":"source-announcement","publishedAt":"2026-10-09T21:52:15Z","modifiedAt":"2026-10-12T00:00:10Z","publicationBasis":"first-publication","preparedAt":"2026-10-09T21:04:34Z","sourcePublishedAt":"2026-10-06","translatedAt":null,"sources":[{"url":"https://www.worldbank.org/en/news/press-release/2026/10/06/middle-east-conflict-further-weakens-regional-outlook-with-gulf-oil-exporters-hit","name":"World Bank Group","checkedAt":"2026-10-09","publishedAt":"2026-10-06"},{"url":"https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/bitstreams/a0c07fd2-4c8e-4e11-8231-8af9a5bff806/download","name":"Full report PDF, Annex 1A table A1.1","licence":"Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 IGO (CC BY 3.0 IGO). Attribute the World Bank and report DOI. Adaptations must include the required disclaimer that the adaptation is the authors’ responsibility and is not endorsed by the World Bank. Third-party components may have separate rights. Facts only; no report prose, tables, charts, or media reproduced.","checkedAt":"2026-10-09","licenseUrl":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/","attribution":"World Bank. 2026. From Divide to Opportunity: AI, Jobs, and Growth. Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan Economic Update (October 2026). DOI 10.1596/978-1-4648-2364-0. © World Bank. CC BY 3.0 IGO. This is an adaptation of an original work by The World Bank. Views and opinions expressed in the adaptation are the sole responsibility of the author or authors and are not endorsed by the World Bank."},{"url":"https://www.worldbank.org/en/region/mena/publication/middle-east-north-africa-afghanistan-and-pakistan-economic-update","name":"October 2026 report publication page","checkedAt":"2026-10-09"},{"url":"https://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/macro-poverty-outlook/mpo_mena","name":"World Bank Macro Poverty Outlook country index","checkedAt":"2026-10-09"},{"url":"https://www.worldbank.org/ext/en/legal/terms-conditions/open-knowledge-repository","name":"World Bank Open Knowledge Repository terms","checkedAt":"2026-10-09"}],"translations":{"en":"https://wellficent.com/en/news/2026-oct-report-ae-wb-oct2026-growth-inflation-outlook","tr":"https://wellficent.com/tr/news/2026-oct-report-ae-wb-oct2026-growth-inflation-outlook","ar":"https://wellficent.com/ar/news/2026-oct-report-ae-wb-oct2026-growth-inflation-outlook","fr":"https://wellficent.com/fr/news/2026-oct-report-ae-wb-oct2026-growth-inflation-outlook","es":"https://wellficent.com/es/news/2026-oct-report-ae-wb-oct2026-growth-inflation-outlook","ru":"https://wellficent.com/ru/news/2026-oct-report-ae-wb-oct2026-growth-inflation-outlook","pt":"https://wellficent.com/pt/news/2026-oct-report-ae-wb-oct2026-growth-inflation-outlook"},"corrections":[{"at":"2026-10-12T00:00:10Z","language":"en","text":"Completed full translations and corrected localized terminology and explanatory labels to preserve all original details."}],"locations":[],"type":"news","classification":{"version":"1","dataKinds":["statistical-release"],"geographies":[{"role":"economic-scope","countryCode":"AE","subdivisionCode":null}],"evidenceBasis":["statistical-estimate","forecast"],"measurementPeriod":null}}